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Pre-market 2026-08-21: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-08-20 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-08-21, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-08-21 09:00 ET window overnight · Thu 20 Aug 16:00 → Fri 21 Aug 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
15 of 21
14 up · 1 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
1.36%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=4 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=6 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
COHRus equity us equity +2.55%✓ +3.09% · 1h15m old +3.25% / -0.57% +2.15% 09:00 80% of 1504:00 n=6 (<15) $201k
LRCXus equity us equity +1.16% · 4h46m old +2.52% · 1h28m old +2.64% / +0.53% +1.99% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $23k
IRENus equity us equity +1.67%✓ +2.38%✓ +3.35% / -0.59% +5.05% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=7 (<15) $210k
AAOIus equity us equity +1.61%✓ · 19m old +2.00% · 1h59m old +2.46% / -1.08% +1.19% 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $8k
CIENus equity us equity -0.70% · 2h58m old -1.69% · 4h29m old -0.20% / -2.10% +0.74% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $592
AVGOus equity us equity +0.96% · 3h58m old +1.51% · 1h15m old +1.66% / +0.13% +1.63% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $3k
RDDTus equity us equity +0.59% · 38m old +1.41%✓ +2.02% / -0.51% +0.56% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $54k
STXus equity us equity +1.29%✓ · 15m old +1.36%✓ · 20m old +2.10% / -0.63% +0.77% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=7 (<15) $110k
CRDOus equity us equity +1.38%✓ +1.29%✓ +2.68% / -0.31% +0.29% 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $363k
VSTus equity us equity +0.68%✓ · 10m old +1.17% · 1h49m old +3.09% / -0.76% +0.30% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $142k
GLWus equity us equity +0.30% · 5h58m old +0.94% · 42m old +1.61% / -0.30% +1.37% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $2k
TERus equity us equity +3.25% · 2h58m old +0.88% · 6h13m old +3.25% / +0.88% -0.30% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $36k
NETus equity us equity +0.45% · 2h58m old +0.71% · 1h41m old +1.81% / +0.18% +1.02% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $9k
CRWDus equity us equity +0.31% · 3h57m old +0.69% · 7h58m old +1.34% / +0.25% -0.69% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $9k
SMCIus equity us equity — +0.16% · 8h27m old +0.16% / +0.13% +2.67% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $269
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-08-21

04:00 call · one dot per market (14 of 14) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-6%-6%-4%-4%-2%-2%00+2%+2%+4%+4%+6%+6%AAOI · chain +1.61% · gap +1.19%AVGO · chain +0.96% · gap +1.63%CIEN · chain -0.70% · gap +0.74%COHR · chain +2.55% · gap +2.15%CRDO · chain +1.38% · gap +0.29%CRWD · chain +0.31% · gap -0.69%GLW · chain +0.30% · gap +1.37%IREN · chain +1.67% · gap +5.05%LRCX · chain +1.16% · gap +1.99%NET · chain +0.45% · gap +1.02%RDDT · chain +0.59% · gap +0.56%STX · chain +1.29% · gap +0.77%TER · chain +3.25% · gap -0.30%VST · chain +0.68% · gap +0.30%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-08-21.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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