~ / data / macro / 2026-10-08-0830

Jobless claims (week ending 2026-10-03)

Jobless claims Released Thu 8 Oct 2026 · 08:30 ET. The official numbers, then how Hyperliquid's xyz perps moved from the last trade before the release, through the hour before the NYSE opened, to the open.

US session at release: extended.

Official numbersno consensus forecast is official, so none is shown

Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report · 2026-10-03

Initial claims · week ending 2026-10-03: 197,000; prior 199,000
Continuing claims · week ending 2026-09-26: 1,716,000; prior 1,699,000

source: ICSA, CCSA · release

Reactionbps from the last trade before 08:30 ET

SP500 · XYZ100 · GOLD · USD

USD = EURUSD inverted · a gap = no valid price: no trade after the release yet, or no reference trade in the 2 minutes before it · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLDUSD

market	−30 min	−5 min	−1 min	5 s	30 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	30 min	at open	max 60 s	fills 5m
SP500index	−9.5	−4.9	−2.3	−0.3	−3.2	−5.3	−8.8	−8.2	−5.4	+4.4	−5.7at 57.9 s	157
XYZ100index	−9.0	−5.8	−1.9	−1.6	−5.2	−9.4	−11.6	−10.0	−6.1	+5.5	−9.4at 59.0 s	122
GOLDcommodity	−15.7	−11.1	−1.7	+0.5	−6.3	−19.4	−19.1	−27.6	−27.8	−18.2	−19.4at 55.0 s	119
SILVERcommodity	−32.0	−13.9	−4.7	−6.8	−11.0	−23.6	−24.2	−35.9	−15.6	+15.3	−25.6at 55.7 s	291
CLcommodity	−20.6	+10.1	+0.1	—	+2.1	+4.1	+5.5	−4.0	−10.4	−84.9	+5.4at 41.4 s	168
BRENTOILcommodity	−24.1	+21.2	0.0	+1.9	+4.8	+6.7	+10.6	−4.8	−19.3	−74.2	+6.7at 38.0 s	234
COPPERcommodity	−10.2	−7.1	−4.8	−0.8	−3.6	−4.7	−14.6	−23.6	−16.1	−55.1	−6.9at 23.2 s	122
EURfx · up = dollar down	−16.1	−3.6	—	—	—	−2.7	−2.7	−8.0	−10.7	−5.4	−2.7at 52.6 s	4
GBPfx · up = dollar down · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1
JPYfx · up = dollar up	+4.4	+2.5	0.0	—	−1.3	+1.3	+1.3	+1.3	+1.9	−1.3	−1.3at 12.0 s	10
TLTetf	—	—	0.0	—	−6.4	−6.4	−2.2	−12.5	+10.1	+59.9	−6.4at 5.9 s	7
SMHetf · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	5

reference = the last trade before the release, no older than 2 minutes; before-release columns show where the market already was relative to it after the release, a point is the last trade up to that time and only trades after the release count; "—" = no such trade EUR and GBP are quoted in dollars per unit, JPY in yen per dollar, so "up" means a weaker dollar for EUR and GBP and a stronger one for JPY max 60 s = the largest move on any trade in the first minute and when it happened at open = last trade at 09:30:00 ET

same release on other HIP-3 deployers

market	−30 min	−5 min	−1 min	5 s	30 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	30 min	at open	max 60 s	fills 5m
mkts:US500index	—	—	—	—	—	−4.0	−6.3	−7.2	−8.7	+1.5	−4.0at 30.9 s	3
mkts:USTECHindex · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4
mkts:SMALL2000index · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0
mkts:USBONDother / unreviewed	—	—	0.0	—	—	—	+2.2	−1.3	−1.3	+42.8	—	2
para:2Yyield · change in bp of yield · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0
para:10Yyield · change in bp of yield · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	27
para:30Yyield · change in bp of yield · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1

same measurement as the table above, on trades of other deployers' markets a price contract moves in bps of its price; a yield contract (its price is a yield in percent) moves in basis points of yield: 4.10 → 4.15 = +5 these books are thinner than xyz's, so "—" (no trade in the 2 minutes before the release, or none after it yet) is common

every proxy · −10 to +60 min

SP500

XYZ100

GOLD

SILVER

CL

BRENTOIL

COPPER

EUR

JPY

TLT

From the release to the opendid the first move hold?

08:30 → 09:35 ET · bps from the last trade before the release

USD = EURUSD inverted · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLDUSD

SP500: −8.8 bps 5 minutes after, +4.4 bps at the open · the first move did not hold

Every US stock and ETFbps from the last trade before the release

5 min after

5 up · 0 flat · 33 down of 38

sort by

market	5 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	at open	fills 5m
METAus equity	−7.9	−26.9	−61.8	−69.1	+12.7	498
KORUetf	−13.3	−64.7	−57.3	−69.4	−79.5	135
SOXLetf	−12.0	−46.0	−40.6	−27.3	+30.7	73
INTCus equity	−6.3	−28.9	−28.0	−15.4	−17.2	92
GOOGLus equity	−16.4	−40.4	−27.1	−28.8	−31.9	351
NOWus equity	—	—	+26.1	+26.1	+78.4	1
CRCLus equity	—	−9.2	−24.8	−34.2	−53.9	23
MSTRus equity	—	−14.6	−21.2	−30.5	−38.5	63
AMZNus equity	+0.4	−9.6	−19.7	−20.8	+16.6	109
WDCus equity	−5.2	−13.0	−19.2	−22.9	−37.4	121
AMDus equity	−10.0	−25.2	−18.8	−24.1	+20.4	63
EWYetf	—	−5.0	−18.3	−17.8	−18.9	10
COINus equity	—	−13.1	−15.9	−26.7	−40.9	8
SNDKus equity	−3.6	−23.9	−15.5	−7.2	−19.7	124
TSMus equity	—	—	−15.0	−22.5	−2.4	7
ARMus equity	—	−28.7	−14.4	−8.4	−49.4	6
TSLAus equity	−2.1	−13.4	−13.9	−11.0	+1.1	67
MAGSetf	—	−17.0	+13.8	−7.2	+18.3	11
ORCLus equity	—	−8.5	−13.4	−5.6	+1.4	42
URNMetf	—	−3.2	−12.6	+2.9	−20.2	46
HOODus equity	—	−13.0	−12.1	−12.1	−21.4	46
MRVLus equity	—	−19.3	−11.5	−24.7	−41.9	29
AVGOus equity	—	—	−10.0	−5.9	−3.0	9
RKLBus equity	+4.8	−11.5	−9.7	−5.1	+27.7	27
MUus equity	−10.2	−22.4	−9.3	−1.9	+43.8	279
NVDAus equity	−3.8	−13.2	−8.9	−4.2	−19.5	128
LLYus equity	—	−5.0	−8.4	−3.4	−58.8	3
NBISus equity	—	−13.3	−6.0	+0.4	+22.8	41
DELLus equity	—	−9.8	−4.7	−12.8	−64.7	16
MRNAus equity	—	0.0	+4.6	+14.3	+38.8	12
AAPLus equity	−4.2	−3.9	−4.2	−4.7	−11.3	27
PLTRus equity	—	—	−4.0	+3.0	+35.3	9
NFLXus equity	—	+2.0	+3.4	−7.1	+16.4	16
TLTetf	—	−6.4	−2.2	−12.5	+59.9	7
BABAus equity	—	+0.9	−1.9	0.0	+25.0	3
SPCXus equity	−1.2	−4.8	−1.8	+7.8	+61.9	200
MSFTus equity	+0.2	+2.8	−1.7	−13.5	+49.1	174
STRCus equity	—	+3.1	+1.2	−1.1	+3.5	20
GEVus equity	—	—	—	—	+11.1	0
IBMus equity	—	—	—	+2.7	−8.6	0

every live US-equity and ETF market on xyz with a trade in the 2 minutes before the release default order = largest 5-minute move either way thin markets can show large moves on one or two fills; check the fill count flat = under 1 bp

Earlier Jobless claims5 minutes after · bps

date	SP500	XYZ100	GOLD	USD
2026-10-01	+4.2	+3.9	+9.3	−3.5
2026-09-24	−8.3	−10.9	−3.5	+4.4
2026-09-17	+8.5	+8.2	−21.9	0.0
2026-09-03	+16.2	+22.0	+42.9	—
2026-08-27	−4.5	−3.7	−4.8	—
2026-08-20	−2.0	−4.1	−11.7	+6.0
2026-08-06	+1.3	+2.4	+18.5	—
2026-07-23	−5.5	−11.5	−3.7	—
2026-07-16	+0.8	+1.4	−3.0	—
2026-07-09	+2.9	+5.8	+22.1	—
2026-06-18	−0.3	−3.0	−3.8	—
2026-06-04	—	—	—	—

USD = EURUSD inverted · raw: /api/xyz/macro/event/2026-10-08-0830.json · definitions in methodology